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Historical analysis · 2024 → 2025

Vehicle-Level Growth Decomposition: 2024 vs 2025

Identify the arithmetic contributions behind a change in launch volume, without attributing economic causes.

Source snapshot · 29 October 2026GCAT / Jonathan McDowellScope · O + D
BASELINE2622024
COMPARISON3292025
NET CHANGE+67Launches
GROWTH25.57%Relative to baseline total

Contributions to the net change

Largest absolute changes shown; the table contains all groups. Positive and negative contributions share a zero axis.

IncreaseDecrease
Falcon 9+33Chang Zheng 3B+6Chang Zheng 8A+6Chang Zheng 6A+5Starship V2+5Atlas V 551+4Chang Zheng 2C-4Chang Zheng 7A+4Electron+4Ariane 62+3Starship V1.0-3Angara-1.2+2Chang Zheng 12+2Chang Zheng 2D/YZ-3-2Falcon Heavy-2Jielong-3+2Kairos-2Kuaizhou-1A-2
Source: GCAT · Unique launch identifiersDescriptive historical analysis · no causal inference
2026 is incomplete. Its 254 snapshot launches are excluded from these full-period calculations.

What the record shows

01

Contributions reconcile

Positive contributions total 104 launches; negative contributions total -37. Their sum is the net change of +67.

02

A common denominator

The comparison moves from 262 to 329 launches. Growth is 25.57%; contributions use the same baseline denominator.

03

Largest absolute movement

Falcon 9 changes from 132 to 165 launches (+33). This identifies a numerical contribution, not its cause.

Every vehicle contribution

Contribution in percentage points uses the total baseline as denominator. Contributions sum to overall growth.

Vehicle-Level Growth Decomposition: 2024 vs 2025 · 2024 → 2025
Vehicle20242025ChangeContribution pp
Falcon 9132165+3312.60
Chang Zheng 3B713+62.29
Chang Zheng 8A06+62.29
Chang Zheng 6A510+51.91
Starship V205+51.91
Atlas V 55115+41.53
Chang Zheng 7A26+41.53
Electron1418+41.53
Ariane 6214+31.15
Angara-1.213+20.76
Chang Zheng 1213+20.76
Jielong-324+20.76
LVM302+20.76
New Glenn 7x202+20.76
Vega C13+20.76
Angara A501+10.38
Chang Zheng 1101+10.38
Chang Zheng 12A01+10.38
Chang Zheng 2F23+10.38
Chang Zheng 3C01+10.38
Chang Zheng 3C/YZ-101+10.38
Chang Zheng 4C23+10.38
Chang Zheng 5B/YZ-212+10.38
Eris Block 101+10.38
GSLV Mk II12+10.38
Gushenxing 156+10.38
H3-24W01+10.38
HANBIT-NANO01+10.38
Lijian-145+10.38
Minotaur IV01+10.38
Nuri01+10.38
Shavit 201+10.38
Spectrum01+10.38
Vulcan Centaur VC4S01+10.38
Zhuque-2E12+10.38
Zhuque-301+10.38
Zoljanah01+10.38
Chang Zheng 2C/YZ-1S11+00.00
Chang Zheng 2D77+00.00
Chang Zheng 4B44+00.00
Chang Zheng 522+00.00
Chang Zheng 811+00.00
Firefly Alpha11+00.00
Kuaizhou-1111+00.00
PSLV-XL11+00.00
Shuang Quxian 111+00.00
Soyuz-2-1B66+00.00
Soyuz-2-1V11+00.00
Yinli-111+00.00
Angara A5/Orion10-1-0.38
Atlas V N2210-1-0.38
Chang Zheng 3B/YZ-110-1-0.38
Chang Zheng 621-1-0.38
Chang Zheng 6C10-1-0.38
Chang Zheng 721-1-0.38
Delta 4H10-1-0.38
H-IIA 20221-1-0.38
H3-22S32-1-0.38
NK Kerolox LV10-1-0.38
PSLV10-1-0.38
PSLV-DL10-1-0.38
SSLV10-1-0.38
Vega10-1-0.38
Chang Zheng 2D/YZ-320-2-0.76
Falcon Heavy20-2-0.76
Kairos20-2-0.76
Kuaizhou-1A42-2-0.76
Qaem-10020-2-0.76
Simorgh20-2-0.76
Soyuz-2-1A86-2-0.76
Vulcan Centaur VC2S20-2-0.76
Starship V1.030-3-1.15
Chang Zheng 2C62-4-1.53